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Ahad, Februari 01, 2009

Commentary - Getting it right for UMNO & BN

A much stronger Umno is needed to lead the Barisan Nasional revival.

The Barisan Nasional bag of tricks does not work any more. Not the promise of development, not the threat of development withheld, not money politics, not the control over the mainstream media, not the threat of hudud law, not the threat of Malay dominance in peril, not accusing Datuk Seri Anwar Ibrahim of selling out Malay interests. Not even Umno’s much vaunted machinery to deliver the votes works effectively today, hampered by internal rivalries, weak leadership and a lost cause. Nothing is going right any more.

Datuk Seri Najib Tun Razak must be a very worried man. He might have the dubious honour of being the first Umno president to become leader of the Opposition. “If we fail to deal with these challenges effectively, punishment awaits us in the 13th general election,” he warned his party soon after the loss in Kuala Terengganu.

But almost 11 months after March 8, the public still does not see what it is that Umno and its Barisan partners have learnt and what change the new leadership will bring. Just listening to the coffeeshop talk of who is leading the Umno race is enough to bring glee to the Pakatan Rakyat coalition. Some very “wrong” people are leading in key races, yet further evidence of how out of touch Umno is with the sentiment on the ground. It has so lost touch that it no longer cares for public opinion.

One Umno leader told me that when he asked Umno members during party functions in different parts of the country what Umno’s perjuangan today is, most are lost for words. They actually do not know what the party stands for any longer. Malay dominance seems so hollow when the Malays are rejecting you in favour of the opposition multi-ethnic agenda.

In Kuala Terengganu, media analysts reported that PAS, PKR and DAP displayed unprecedented cohesion and dazzled the voters with their unity, sharing the same platform everywhere. The PAS spiritual leader, Datuk Nik Aziz Nik Mat, even gave a ceramah in a Chinese restaurant in front of a beer-drinking crowd, it was reported. The multi-ethnic and multi-religious political agenda of Pakatan Rakyat is finding appeal in the Malay heartland.

Wait a minute. Shouldn’t all that be about Barisan Nasional, not Pakatan Rakyat? Who have been working together for over 50 years in a multi-ethnic coalition? Who have preached the imperative of the races living and sharing the nation together for over 50 years? Who have practised the politics of accommodation and eschewed the politics of zero-sum gain? Who have extolled the virtues of masyarakat majmuk and of muhibbah?

The iconic picture of Tunku Abdul Rahman, Tun Tan Siew Sin and Tun Sambanthan sitting, eating, laughing, and campaigning together epitomised that image. Yes, it is a romanticised image, for the Tunku, too, eventually lost touch with the Malay ground.

But no one can deny that Malaysia’s political stability in a world of bloody ethnic conflict is largely due to the success of this inter-ethnic political arrangement as epitomised first by the Alliance and then the grand coalition that made up the Barisan Nasional.

Now it’s all about me

What a history. And yet this seems lost to the many Umno people I meet, read and hear about today. Now it’s all about me, and the unscrupulous use of race, religion, and money to buttress the me.

I wonder if it made any difference to their thinking that 74% of the Malays in the Kuala Terengganu constituency polled a week before election day believed that “Malay political power was weakened by corrupt and self serving leaders”, while only 17% said it was weakened by “demands made by the non-Malays”.

If the results of the by-election are not enough to wake up the Umno warlords at the state and divisional levels, then, as many Umno leaders now openly admit, defeat in the next elections stare them in their faces.

That a newly-cobbled coalition of strange bedfellows can present a united front and work together as a team and sell their multi-ethnic agenda to a Malay electorate shows what an empty shell the Barisan Nasional as a multi-ethnic coalition has become.

And yet, the coalition has many comparative advantages over Pakatan Rakyat. The fact that it is tried and tested, that it has worked together in a permanent coalition for decades, that it has appeal across all ethnic groups, to women, to the middle class establishment, to the rural poor, to the moderates are all strengths that it has thrown away with innumerable missteps and conceit – only for Pakatan Rakyat to pick up these ideas and repackage them into a new winning formula.

The much diminished MCA, MIC and Gerakan are dependent on a much stronger Umno to lead the BN revival and stop the electoral haemorrhage. In the way that PKR and Anwar Ibrahim are the glue the holds Pakatan Rakyat together, Umno as the dominant party in the coalition must be able to provide leadership and bring all sides together.

But there is little hope that an Umno too mired in money politics, patronage, and ethnic and religious chauvinism can rise to the challenge. Even the number crunching that should have been done after March 8 is being done by others, not Umno.

The party seems oblivious to the fact that it has all but lost the youth vote to Pakatan.

Be it March 8, Permatang Pauh, or Kuala Terengganu, Umno has lost its Malay future. There is rhetoric to listen to the youth, but there is no tangible move to attract them beyond covetting the very visible and much disliked Mat Rempits.

This, while PKR, DAP and PAS are attracting the young, educated, energetic, Internet-savvy professionals who read, think, learn, strategise, mobilise, reach out to civil society, and are hungry for new ideas and new ways of doing things.

Where is the new blood that will bring vision, vigour and new hope to a grand old party that is disintegrating before us all? Where is the courage so needed to take risks to forge new ways of winning over the rakyat? Umno’s political base is evaporating from underneath its feet, and yet what seems more important to so many is winning the party elections in March, or making sure their favourite horse wins.

Meeting the challenges

And yet the party is still not short of supporters and critics, inside and outside, desperate to see it forge change as Umno’s survival is vital for Malaysia’s maturing democracy. All kinds of ideas have been thrown into the ring to clean up Umno, to strengthen and rebuild the BN to meet the challenges of changing times.

> ELIMINATE the nomination quotas and give power to the grassroots to directly elect the party leadership. One member, one vote.

> SET a limit to the presidential term to promote regeneration of new talent.

> DISMANTLE the Umno, MCA, MIC, and all the component parties’ individual service centres and convert them into a joint Barisan Nasional service centre to serve the needs of all in the constituency.

> CONDUCT all activities at the branch and divisional levels as Barisan activities and ensure they reflect the multi-ethnic reality on the ground.

> ALL appointments to decision-making bodies at the grassroots, be it the Jawatankuasa Kemajuan Kampung (JKK), KEMAS, or the local sports bodies must reflect the diversity within the community – ethnicity, religion, age, gender.

> BREAK the tangled web between business and politics. Party position should no longer be the guaranteed route to instant wealth.

> EMBARK on a recruitment drive to attract new talent to energise the party with new idealism and vigour.

> STOP the empty promises. Just do it.

Rabu, Januari 21, 2009

Commentary - Old UMNO / BN formula no longer works

The by-election in Kuala Terengganu further emphasises that voters don’t want politics-as-usual. They want respect and service.

Standing on the terrace of Pulau Duyung’s gleaming white Marina Exhibition centre, I can see Kuala Terengganu’s main landmarks ranged across the open water: the Sultan Mahmud bridge, the distant Bukit Besar emblazoned with the words “Allah Peliharakan Terengganu”, the police barracks, Chinatown’s shophouses, the centuries-old Masjid Puteh alongside the Istana Maziah, and the Grand Continental Hotel.

I must confess that I’ve never liked this town – give me Kota Baru any day.

Furthermore, I loathe the brand of puritanical politics preached by PAS president Datuk Seri Abdul Hadi Awang and his faction in PAS. For better or worse, this had come to dominate the Terengganu political landscape.

Nonetheless, the view before me is panoramic – almost heroic, made all the more so by the hulking presence of the white, sarcophagus-like exhibition centre behind me.

Moreover, at this time of the year the strong South China Sea monsoon winds buffet you aggressively as you walk back to the equally dramatic, if darker-hued, Riy-az Heritage Resort and Spa with its spectacular 10m-high verandah.

The two buildings are silent sentinels at the Terengganu rivermouth. Exquisitely built, but rarely visited and ghost-like, they remind you of the countless bizarre projects across the country – projects that may have seemed like a good idea at the time, only to languish and fade over the years as the initial enthusiasm for their construction and usage dimmed and then, in certain cases, just disappeared.

Someone should someday make a record of all these ill-conceived, under-utilised ventures; and with a recession fast approaching we certainly need to be reminded of all that’s been frittered away over the past decades.

But consider for a moment just how tactlessly placed the two buildings at the heart of the infamous Monsoon Cup truly are for Kuala Terengganu’s residents, reminding the townspeople time and again of the lavishness with which others – principally outsiders – have spent Terengganu’s highly prized Uang Ehsan or oil revenues.

All politics is local and last weekend’s by-election in Kuala Tereng–ganu (or KT as its better known) was principally about KT, its inhabitants and their politics and politicians.

Indeed, it was a very personal contest between two well-known local figures. And in this small, tightly-knit community nothing escapes notice.

The scrutiny was (and is) intense and unforgiving, leaving the Barisan Nasional flag-bearer, Datuk Wan Ahmad Farid of Umno, very much the weaker candidate which meant that his defeat was not unexpected.

However, the story does not end there. While the Umno candidate had his problems, the strategy employed to win over KT’s voters was vintage Barisan, and therefore hopelessly flawed and outdated. It was, as always, “money, money, money, veiled threats and more money”.

Once again, Barisan has failed to read the mood of the Malaysian people. Its inability to do so is deeply worrying especially given the superior resources at its disposal. You have to ask yourself, how can a bunch of activists, former lecturers and Umno refuseniks out-strategise and out-manoeuvre Malaysia’s grand old party?

Well, I’m not a pollster but it’s clear enough to me that the people of Malaysia want more than contracts and money. In essence they want respect and service. Since March 2008, politics-as-usual is no longer acceptable. The old formula is dead.

The rakyat will no longer stand there patiently, receiving the benefits of development (which as citizens is theirs by right anyway) and trading their meek submissiveness for goodies.

Still, they’re not stupid. Of course, they’ll accept the cash and pocket the rewards, but that doesn’t mean they’ll vote accordingly.

The people want their representatives in Parliament (or any state assembly) to be humble, prompt to act, committed to good governance and straight-dealing.

In short, they are after a total reversal of the traditional Malaysian political equation – and something that Umno reps in Johor, for example, are more than used to doing. They want politicians to be their servants and not their masters. Barisan and Umno have yet to realise this fundamental change.

Added to this is the growing fearlessness among the people of all races – many of whom are confident enough to challenge elected representatives and ministers head on.

Unfortunately, Umno is in a forlorn state. The noble party of Merdeka is full of carpet-baggers and ne’er-do-wells. This is accentuated by the long drawn out party campaign period.

At the same time the impending accession of Datuk Seri Najib Tun Razak as party president has dazzled the members.

They feel that he – and he alone – can, and will, rescue the party from its present “funk”. They feel that he has the secret ingredient which will allow them to continue as before – lobbying for contracts and hanging out in hotel lobbies smoking expensive cigars.

Unfortunately, this is no longer true. Firstly, no one man can single-handedly transform a party of over two million members.

The party president will need a team alongside him to lead, and then bring about root and branch reform; and I’m still waiting to see the emergence of this ground-breaking “team” that will restore the semangat and passion to the political machine.

Umno needs an overhaul, not a cosmetic leadership change.

Secondly, and at the risk of repeating myself, there needs to be a wholesale change in the way politics – and especially the politics of development – is conducted.

These changes will in turn force the carpet-baggers out of the hotel lobbies and ministerial ante-rooms into the kampungs and urban slums to do real community work.

Finally, I must conclude by saying Pakatan Rakyat did not win the Kuala Terengganu by-election. It was savvy, but in essence Barisan lost it.

With the possibility of a by-election in Sabah (Pensiangan) fast approaching and the Sarawak state polls looming, the momentum has switched back to Datuk Seri Anwar Ibrahim and Pakatan despite their many missteps.

Given this fact, it is no longer just a question of asking whether Umno is relevant to modern Malaysia because it so clearly isn’t.

The more crucial issue now is will the party ever regain its relevance?